农业数字化对化肥利用效率影响的实证研究

An empirical study on the impact of agricultural digitalization on fertilizer utilization efficiency

  • 摘要: 提高化肥利用效率是促进化肥施用减量的重要途径, 而农业数字化为持续提高化肥利用效率提供了新的思路。本文基于全国30个省(市、区) 2012—2021年的面板数据, 分别采用全局参比的非期望产出SBM模型和熵值法对化肥利用效率和农业数字化水平进行测度, 在此基础上, 利用面板Tobit模型、中介效应模型实证分析农业数字化对化肥利用效率的影响及其作用路径。结果显示: 2019年以来我国农业数字化发展较快, 但发展水平存在明显的区域差异, 东部地区高于全国平均水平, 中西部地区低于全国水平; 基准回归结果表明, 农业数字化在1%的水平上显著提高了化肥利用效率, 且经过内生性处理及稳健性检验后, 结论依然成立; 机制检验发现, 农业数字化通过扩大农地经营规模、促进农业社会化服务发展以及绿色技术使用来提升化肥利用效率; 异质性分析表明, 农业数字化在非粮食主产区与西部地区对化肥利用效率具有显著的正向影响, 但在粮食主产区、东部和中部地区影响不显著。

     

    Abstract: Improving the efficiency of fertilizer use is an important way to promote a reduction in fertilizer use, and agricultural digitalization provides a new perspective for continuously improving fertilizer use efficiency. Based on panel data from 30 provinces (cities, autonomous regions) in China from 2012 to 2021, this paper uses the non-expected output SBM model with global reference and entropy method to measure the efficiency of fertilizer use and the level of agricultural digitalization. On this basis, the paper uses panel Tobit model and mediating effect model to empirically analyze the impact of agricultural digitalization on fertilizer use efficiency and its path of action. The results showed that agricultural digitalization has developed rapidly in China since 2019, but there are obvious regional differences in development level, with the eastern region being higher than the national average and the middle and western regions being lower; the benchmark regression results showed that agricultural digitalization significantly improves fertilizer use efficiency at the 1% level, and the conclusion remains valid after the endogeneity treatment and robustness test; the mechanism test showed that agricultural digitalization improves fertilizer use efficiency by expanding the scale of agricultural land operation, promoting the development of agricultural socialized services, and using green technologies; the heterogeneity analysis showed that agricultural digitalization has a significant positive impact on fertilizer use efficiency in non-grain producing areas and western regions, but has no significant impact in grain producing areas, the eastern and central regions. Therefore, we should continue to play a positive role in improving fertilizer use efficiency through agricultural digitalization, promote the transformation of agriculture in rural areas, improve the platform of land transfer market, promote the development of agricultural socialized services, strengthen the promotion and training of green technologies, and provide impetus for better playing the mediating.

     

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