许吟隆, 赵明月, 李阔, 赵运成, 王淳一. 农业适应气候变化研究进展回顾与展望[J]. 中国生态农业学报 (中英文), 2023, 31(8): 1155−1170. DOI:10.12357/cjea.20230437
引用本文: 许吟隆, 赵明月, 李阔, 赵运成, 王淳一. 农业适应气候变化研究进展回顾与展望[J]. 中国生态农业学报 (中英文), 2023, 31(8): 1155−1170.DOI:10.12357/cjea.20230437
XU Y L, ZHAO M Y, LI K, ZHAO Y C, WANG C Y. Review on the research progress of agricultural adaptation to climate change and perspectives[J]. Chinese Journal of Eco-Agriculture, 2023, 31(8): 1155−1170. DOI:10.12357/cjea.20230437
Citation: XU Y L, ZHAO M Y, LI K, ZHAO Y C, WANG C Y. Review on the research progress of agricultural adaptation to climate change and perspectives[J]. Chinese Journal of Eco-Agriculture, 2023, 31(8): 1155−1170.DOI:10.12357/cjea.20230437

农业适应气候变化研究进展回顾与展望

Review on the research progress of agricultural adaptation to climate change and perspectives

  • 摘要:气候变化对农业生产产生了广泛而深刻的影响。本文基于气候系统和农业生态系统、经济社会系统的相互作用关系, 梳理气候变化的农业影响和适应的逻辑层次。影响的逻辑层次可以归结为: 气候平均状态变化的影响、极端天气气候事件加剧的影响、气候变化引起的生态后果和经济社会后果等4个方面; 与气候变化影响的逻辑层次相应, 适应气候变化的逻辑层次可以分解为: 气候变暖条件下农业气候资源的高效利用; 根据气候变暖背景下农业气象灾害发生新特征, 系统调整农业防灾减灾工作思路与技术路线; 加强农业生物多样性保护, 优化农业生态系统的结构与功能, 充分发挥农业生态系统服务增强农业气候韧性; 以及农业经济社会系统整体的优化转型。在对气候变化影响评估和已采取的适应措施系统总结回顾基础上, 分析了农业适应气候变化面临的挑战, 即: 气候胁迫不断加大、农业系统对于气候变化的脆弱性不断加大、粮食安全保障体系还很不完善、适应能力薄弱等。最后提出农业适应气候变化需要加强研究的关键科学问题: 扩展气候变化农业影响评估研究领域、科学辨识农业之于气候变化的脆弱性和风险、揭示农业适应气候变化的科学机理、构建农业适应气候变化技术体系、加强农业适应气候变化的决策能力研究、加强农业适应行动实施的保障能力研究等。

    Abstract:Agricultural production has been widely and seriously affected by climate change. In this paper, the logical layers of climate change impacts and adaptation were synthesized based on the interactions of climate system and agricultural ecosystem as well as the social-economic system. The logical layers of climate change impacts could be clarified as the effects due to the change of climate average trend, the enhanced extreme climatic events, ecological consequences and social-economic consequences, then the logical layers of adaptation could be clarified as the high-efficiency use of agro-climatic resources due to warming, systematically adjusting the strategy and technical approaches for disaster reduction and prevention according to the new features of enhanced agro-meteorological disasters, increasing the agricultural climate resilience with the well employment of ecosystem services through the protection of agro-biodiversity and optimizing the agricultural ecosystem’s structure and functions, and transformational update of the agricultural social-economic system. The challenges of agricultural adaptation to climate change were synthesized based on the systematic review of the research progress on the already occurred climate change impacts and the adopted adaptation measures that the climatic stress onto the agricultural system is incessantly enhanced, the vulnerability to climate change is continuously increased, the guarantee system for food security is not complete yet, and the adaptive capacity is still very weak. Finally, the key scientific questions for agricultural adaptation were proposed to enlarge the aspects of climate change impacts assessment, to scientifically identify the vulnerability to climate change and the future climate risk, to reveal the theoretical mechanism of adaptation, to construct the agricultural adaptation system, to strengthen the research on how to increase the capacity of agricultural adaptation decision as well as the implementation of agricultural adaptation actions.

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