李玥, 牛俊义, 郭丽琢, 高珍妮, 孙小花. AquaCrop模型在西北胡麻生物量及产量模拟中的应用和验证[J]. 中国生态农业学报(中英文), 2014, 22(1): 93-103. DOI: 10.3724/SP.J.1011.2014.30650
引用本文: 李玥, 牛俊义, 郭丽琢, 高珍妮, 孙小花. AquaCrop模型在西北胡麻生物量及产量模拟中的应用和验证[J]. 中国生态农业学报(中英文), 2014, 22(1): 93-103. DOI: 10.3724/SP.J.1011.2014.30650
LI Yue, NIU Junyi, GUO Lizhuo, GAO Zhenni, SUN Xiaohua. Application and validation of AquaCrop model in simulating biomass and yield of oil flax in Northwest China[J]. Chinese Journal of Eco-Agriculture, 2014, 22(1): 93-103. DOI: 10.3724/SP.J.1011.2014.30650
Citation: LI Yue, NIU Junyi, GUO Lizhuo, GAO Zhenni, SUN Xiaohua. Application and validation of AquaCrop model in simulating biomass and yield of oil flax in Northwest China[J]. Chinese Journal of Eco-Agriculture, 2014, 22(1): 93-103. DOI: 10.3724/SP.J.1011.2014.30650

AquaCrop模型在西北胡麻生物量及产量模拟中的应用和验证

Application and validation of AquaCrop model in simulating biomass and yield of oil flax in Northwest China

  • 摘要: 为了预测水分和养分对胡麻籽粒产量、生物量与水分生产率的影响, 使用FAO研发的水分驱动作物模型AquaCrop对胡麻在不同灌溉与氮磷水平下的生长情况进行模拟和验证。试验分别于2011年、2012年在甘肃省榆中县良种场进行, 试验设置4个灌溉水平, 3个氮水平, 3个磷水平。模型性能的评价采用模型效率(E)、决定系数(R2)、均方根误差(RMSE)和平均绝对误差(MAE)等统计指标。分析结果表明: AquaCrop模型校正的籽粒产量和生物量在不同灌溉与氮磷水平处理下的预测误差统计值为: 0.97<E<0.99, 0.11<RMSE<0.33, 0.11 t·hm-2< MAE<0.42 t·hm-2, 与2012年的试验观察数据(0.96<E<0.99, 0.11<RMSE<0.42, 0.11 t·hm-2<MAE<0.39 t·hm-2)基本一致; 同时, 群体覆盖(CC)与生物量的模拟结果与测定值也非常拟合。AquaCrop模型在充分灌溉处理下预测胡麻产量, 比非充分灌溉处理下具更高的准确性。因而, 水分驱动模型AquaCrop在西北胡麻区不同的灌溉与田间管理措施下有较高的模拟精确性, 具有广阔的应用前景和价值。

     

    Abstract: Many crop-growth models have been established for predicting the effects of soil, water and nutrient on grain/biomass yield and water productivity of different crops. However, most of the crop-growth models were still at research stage and only few have been applied in actual production processes due to limitations in simulation input data. To predict the influence of water and nutrient on yield, biomass and water productivity of oil flax, a water-driven crop model, AquaCrop model, developed by FAO was used to simulate and validate the growth of oil flax under different irrigation and nitrogen/phosphorus levels. In the study, field experiment with 9 nutrients treatments (3 nitrogen levels and 3 phosphorus levels) under four irrigation levels were conducted at Yuzhong Field Station. The experimental data collected in 2011 was used to simulate yield, biomass and canopy cover and data collected in 2012 to validate the model. The performance of model was evaluated from model efficiency (E), determination coefficient (R2), root mean square root (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE). The results showed that the prediction errors of the calibrated yield and biomass of the AquaCrop model under different irrigation and nitrogen/phosphorus treatments were 0.97 < E < 0.99, 0.11 < RMSE < 0.33 and 0.11 t·hm-2< MAE < 0.42 t·hm 2. These were in accordance with measured data in the experiment study in 2012 (0.96 < E < 0.99, 0.11 < RMSE < 0.42 and 0.11 t·hm-2< MAE < 0.39 t·hm-2). Furthermore, the simulated results of canopy cover and biomass matched observed values. The predicted yield of oil flax by the AquaCrop model was more accurate under intensive irrigation treatment than under deficient irrigation treatment. The FAO AquaCrop water-driven model had higher simulation precision when oil flax was simulated in Northwest China with different irrigation treatments and field management practices. The model showed broad application prospects in China.

     

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